Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.187448 0.223373 0.263721 0.312304 0.369125 0.433385 0.511471
2025-04-06 0.131844 0.176962 0.233334 0.308573 0.405946 0.527253 0.689323
2025-04-13 0.100939 0.148290 0.212399 0.304772 0.433544 0.605617 0.851673
2025-04-20 0.084641 0.133961 0.205273 0.314609 0.476395 0.704977 1.049820
2025-04-27 0.077091 0.130007 0.210903 0.341581 0.544808 0.845485 1.319499
2025-05-04 0.068117 0.121825 0.208252 0.354692 0.592947 0.960405 1.563007
2025-05-11 0.057653 0.109107 0.196077 0.350281 0.612101 1.031972 1.746367
2025-05-18 0.047769 0.095491 0.180064 0.336688 0.613637 1.074477 1.886260
2025-05-25 0.039368 0.082989 0.163906 0.320146 0.607316 1.102186 2.002913
2025-06-01 0.035431 0.078283 0.161039 0.326782 0.641869 1.201574 2.249509
2025-06-08 0.030072 0.069751 0.149622 0.315693 0.642440 1.240993 2.394105
2025-06-15 0.027524 0.066651 0.148344 0.323883 0.679785 1.349431 2.671807
2025-06-22 0.024770 0.062815 0.145413 0.329208 0.713870 1.458311 2.967029
2025-06-29 0.021565 0.057380 0.138350 0.325138 0.729012 1.533471 3.207472
2025-07-06 0.018840 0.052543 0.131800 0.321134 0.743576 1.608591 3.454644
2025-07-13 0.017427 0.050698 0.131742 0.331460 0.789642 1.750986 3.848691
2025-07-20 0.017214 0.051936 0.139122 0.359773 0.878142 1.988557 4.457613
2025-07-27 0.016161 0.050703 0.140288 0.373532 0.935453 2.165811 4.956397
2025-08-03 0.014301 0.046829 0.134229 0.368903 0.949887 2.252393 5.270351
2025-08-10 0.012258 0.041985 0.124862 0.354637 0.939773 2.283949 5.467580
2025-08-17 0.010379 0.037213 0.114877 0.337273 0.919896 2.291332 5.611430
2025-08-24 0.009627 0.035848 0.114110 0.344239 0.961230 2.442664 6.093330
2025-08-31 0.008341 0.032432 0.106909 0.332599 0.953740 2.478879 6.313097